The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community

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The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community

The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community. The world does not choose the president of the United States, but it will have to deal with the fallout if Americans choose former President Donald J. Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris. From the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine to climate change and international trade, this choice will have far-reaching effects.

The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community

What kind of superpower will America be in the years to come? is the question that the world is trying to answer. Was President Biden an exception, or was Trump?

I discussed the situation with my colleagues Times international correspondents. There is no denying that this election divides the world just as much as it does the US, albeit in unexpected ways at times.

— KATRIN BENNHOLD

Israel:

If they could, Israelis would undoubtedly vote for Trump, according to the polls. But for whoever wins, the long-term consequences will probably be negligible.

For the first time in decades, Israeli society and the government are more opposed to Palestinian statehood and a two-state solution. No U.S. president is likely to change it. President Harris would probably put more pressure on Israel to begin talks with the Palestinians and arrange a cease-fire. She is unlikely to, say, cease giving Israel military support, nevertheless.

If Israel allowed Jewish settlers to return to Gaza, as some Israeli government officials would like to do, perhaps President Trump wouldn’t mind as much. He also opposes Iran in a far more muscular manner than Harris, which many Israelis find appealing. It’s hard to tell which side of the bed he’ll wake up on, though. He appears to be more circumspect than he actually is, and he recently seemed to have ruled out trying to topple the Iranian regime.

Because of this uncertainty, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may think he can take advantage of a Harris administration more. As a result, Israeli internal thought might be more nuanced than it seems.

Russia and Ukraine:

This election is of great relevance to Russia and Ukraine. Trump blames Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, for Russia’s incursion. Ukrainians are worried that a Trump administration will force a hurried, dubious peace deal that favors Russia. They hope President Harris will remain their comrade on the fight.

But according to Russian President Vladimir V. Putin, Trump and Harris are not as different on Ukraine as we may think. He believes that compared to Trump and Harris, Biden will be more committed to Ukraine.

The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community

Putin is looking for an agreement that he can declare a success. According to him, Ukraine is a puppet of the US. He therefore thinks that he can only negotiate that arrangement with the president of the United States. He has openly supported Harris. Although it may appear contradictory or dishonest, Putin might believe he can conduct business with her.

A Trump victory would unquestionably benefit Putin in one way: it would result in a far less involved America in the world and Europe, which Putin views as his legitimate areas of interest.

China:

Regardless of the outcome, the next U.S. president will be a hawk on China. Those I speak with in Beijing, however, disagree over which candidate would be best for China. The two primary subjects of the trade-off are tariffs and Taiwan.

Chinese economic authorities are well aware of Trump’s proposal to impose broad taxes on China’s exports, which may pose a major threat to China’s economy. The demand from overseas, especially America, is crucial to this country’s ability to maintain its industry and its workforce. Manufacturing contributes significantly to wealth creation and helps offset China’s sharp decline in the real estate market.

In the meanwhile, Trump’s election victory is seen favorably by the Chinese foreign policy community.

The United States’ attempts, especially those of the Biden administration, to fortify ties with many of China’s neighbors—Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, India, and most importantly, Taiwan—have China feeling more and more confined. It’s likely that Harris would keep up those efforts. Trump is far less dedicated to forming and preserving global partnerships.

Additionally, Trump’s interest in protecting Taiwan has significantly decreased. In Beijing, that is greatly appreciated.

Europe and NATO:

This U.S. election feels like the end of an era for Europe, regardless of the outcome.

Depending on who you ask, the outcome of a Trump victory in Europe might be either positive or negative. Trump is seen as the leader of the European nativist movement, which is spreading to Germany, Italy, Hungary, and other nations. If he were elected president again, he would reinforce and legitimate their hardline attitude on immigration and national identity.

Meanwhile, most western European leaders are extremely anxious. The economy of the continent may suffer greatly as a result of Trump’s plan to levy 20% tariffs on all commodities shipped to the US, including those from Europe. Trump has, of course, also made reference to leaving NATO on a number of occasions.

Even if the United States doesn’t formally leave NATO, Trump could fatally undermine the alliance’s credibility if he says, “I’m not going to go fight for some small European country.” The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community.

If Harris wins, there is a feeling that she, too, will be preoccupied at home and more concerned with China, and will expect the Europeans to do more for themselves. There is a palpable sense in Europe that Biden was perhaps the last U.S. president to be personally attached to an alliance forged in the Cold War.

Global trade:

“Tariff” is “the most beautiful word in the dictionary,” as Donald Trump has said. More beautiful than love and more beautiful than respect.

Thus, among other things, this election is a referendum on the global commercial system, and the choice made by American voters may have global implications.

If elected, Harris would keep enforcing targeted tariffs on Chinese goods on the grounds of national security. Trump is proposing something far more severe with tariffs that haven’t been seen in nearly a century—10 to 20 percent on most foreign goods and 60 percent or more on goods made in China.

Also Read: Harris’s goal is to disqualify Trump

Over $3 trillion in U.S. imports would be impacted, and other nations would likely retaliate with tariffs of their own, sparking numerous trade wars. A poorer world, in essence, is what most economists predict will happen if we have higher tariffs, less trade, lower incomes, and slower development.

Is Trump able to achieve that? He can, indeed. His legal authority is extensive. In doing so, the United States would be compromising the major international trade regulations that it helped establish.

South Africa:

There are some intriguing distinctions between Trump and Harris’s perceptions in Africa. Some people view Trump as a great leader who accomplishes goals, even if he has openly disparaged African nations. He is similar to many despotic African presidents in many aspects.

As the granddaughter of an Indian ambassador stationed in Zambia, Harris is well-known throughout Africa for having spent time there during her childhood. Her African heritage also strikes a deep chord. It is believed that she is a true representative of the continent.

The Importance of the U.S. Election

Given that many African nations still rely on fossil fuels for their energy, Biden and Harris likely want these nations to decarbonize. Trump’s administration might be preferable for nations that choose to keep burning coal, oil, and gas rather than being forced to make the switch to clean energy because he is unlikely to have that focus.

South Africa is experiencing a tug-of-war between the alliance of BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, among others) and the West, with whom it has the closest economic relations. Trump is likely to be much more isolationist if he wins, and he may not mind seeing nations like Ethiopia and South Africa becoming even more BRICS-aligned.

Mexico:

Mexico will face severe challenges if Trump wins. Tensions at the border between the United States and Mexico are likely to rise. High tariffs may be imposed on Mexico, the United States’ biggest trading partner. It will also be the neighbor next door to the president who has threatened to send American troops to Mexico.

Regardless matter the result, Mexico anticipates a stringent immigration policy. That would probably mean adhering to President Harris’s policies, which have been much stricter over time throughout the Biden administration. Migration is a prevalent issue. Migrants from all over the world cross Mexico to get to the U.S. border, and the United States cannot control the migrant flow without Mexico’s assistance.

Experts question if Trump’s pledge to deport 11 million people, primarily to Latin America, is even realistic. However, even a few deportations could have far-reaching effects on the entire region.

Mexico has some power. However, an emboldened Trump might really back its leaders into a corner. They are aware of it.

Climate:

Nothing else is in danger. The United States has emitted more carbon than any other country in history and is currently the second-largest emitter after China. What the world does next will determine whether it can stop catastrophic climate change.

If elected, Harris is anticipated to carry on Biden’s goals of reducing carbon emissions and converting to renewable energy. It is less clear if she would restrict these resources because the United States is currently producing more oil and gas than any other country.

If Trump is elected, he might not completely abandon the policies of the Biden administration. However, he may repeal dozens of laws that control emissions from power plants and automobiles, severely undermining the nation’s capacity to cut emissions quickly enough.

The Importance of the U.S. Election to the Global Community

Additionally, Trump’s policies may prevent China from facing significant competition in the field of renewable energy technologies, such as electric vehicles and batteries. That race is already being led by China.

The energy shift has already begun, regardless of the outcome of the U.S. election. However, scale and speed are important. Trump might make the transition sluggish, which might have catastrophic effects for the global climate.

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